Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 9.152761e-01 1.150438 1.411687 1.720520 2.072723 2.459100 2.912206
2025-06-22 6.053674e-01 0.910292 1.288009 1.776928 2.379880 3.086719 3.965351
2025-06-29 3.967610e-01 0.721685 1.170561 1.801984 2.634365 3.663509 5.000882
2025-07-06 2.445662e-01 0.553041 1.032069 1.763277 2.788094 4.115380 5.905534
2025-07-13 1.589326e-01 0.450080 0.956122 1.786467 3.011136 4.657017 6.941360
2025-07-20 1.010935e-01 0.367581 0.887730 1.801862 3.213450 5.172335 7.957556
2025-07-27 5.696593e-02 0.284911 0.794136 1.757237 3.315378 5.546628 8.793179
2025-08-03 2.991635e-02 0.220429 0.713049 1.715019 3.408605 5.904025 9.610120
2025-08-10 1.610150e-02 0.180360 0.668155 1.725053 3.577530 6.370503 10.586141
2025-08-17 6.463178e-03 0.136755 0.598355 1.675166 3.640526 6.678470 11.343538
2025-08-24 3.373931e-03 0.121530 0.594065 1.749424 3.910990 7.302319 12.563101
2025-08-31 1.081700e-03 0.098655 0.559163 1.754897 4.061491 7.746243 13.531993
2025-09-07 4.653921e-04 0.092494 0.574322 1.870793 4.416079 8.523819 15.017676
2025-09-14 9.185853e-05 0.081303 0.568705 1.940449 4.692400 9.188977 16.355857
2025-09-21 7.478086e-07 0.067680 0.547807 1.972183 4.900940 9.753227 17.557487
2025-09-28 NaN 0.050244 0.500408 1.933573 4.975619 10.104942 18.449012
2025-10-05 NaN 0.040914 0.481227 1.959597 5.170972 10.654135 19.645611
2025-10-12 NaN 0.032609 0.460154 1.976677 5.348093 11.176158 20.808419
2025-10-19 NaN 0.022599 0.417787 1.929458 5.394942 11.483013 21.647289
2025-10-26 NaN 0.015130 0.379366 1.884606 5.441245 11.787407 22.485282
2025-11-02 NaN 0.011224 0.361538 1.895397 5.599716 12.282885 23.625657
2025-11-09 NaN 0.006707 0.325147 1.842212 5.620688 12.543060 24.402061
2025-11-16 NaN 0.005853 0.330418 1.921456 5.924657 13.295458 25.960853